Bracketology 2017: January 26

Seed List

1: Baylor, Villanova, Gonzaga, Kansas
2: Butler, North Carolina, Kentucky, Arizona
3: UCLA, Florida State, West Virginia, Virginia
4: Purdue, Louisville, Wisconsin, Oregon
5: Cincinnati, Duke, Notre Dame, Maryland
6: Florida, South Carolina, Saint Mary's, Xavier
7: Iowa State, USC, Northwestern, SMU
8: Indiana, Dayton, Kansas St., Creighton
9: Virginia Tech, Marquette, Arkansas, Minnesota
10: Utah, Miami, Seton Hall, Texas Tech
11: California, North Carolina State, TCU, Michigan, Georgia Tech, Middle Tennssee
12: Nevada, Illinois State, UNC Wilmington, Akron
13: Valparaiso, Monmouth, New Mexico State, East Tennessee St.
14: Georgia Southern, Princeton, Florida Gulf Coast, Vermont
15: Belmont, Winthrop, Bucknell, North Dakota State
16: Mount Saint Mary's, North Carolina Central, UC Irvine, Sam Houston State, Weber State, Texas Southern

Bullets:

  • A lot of shake up a the top after five teams on the top two lines of Monday's bracket lost.  I moved Baylor to the number one overall seed, though Gonzaga has a claim to it as well.  Florida State falls to the 3-seed line after taking it on the chin in Atlanta last night.
  • Creighton has slid big time.  The Jays are now an 8 seed and need to show signs of life.
  • Housekeeping:
    • Teams are selected and seeded based on an "If the season ended today" scenario.  This is not a projection of where I think they will end up, but where think they'd be based on season-to-date showings.  I expect Gonzaga to fall as their strength of schedule weakens, while Michigan St. should rise as they get healthy and win games in the B1G.  Doing it this way lets us track a team's stock as the season progresses.
    • Automatic bids are awarded to the team KenPom projects to win the regular season.  We'll keep it that way though January, before flipping over to the teams in first place in the conference standings.
  • The bubble remains very, very fluid.  In the end, I took Seton Hall, Texas Tech, Cal, NC State, TCU, Michigan and Georgia Tech over Clemson, Wake forest, VCU, Houston, Georgia and Rhode Island.

Bids By Conference:
Atlantic Coast Conference: 11
Big 12 Conference: 6
Big Ten Conference: 7
Big East Conference: 6
Pac-12 Conference: 6
Southeastern Conference: 4
American Athletic Conference: 2
Atlantic 10 Conference: 1
West Coast Conference: 2
America East Conference: 1
Atlantic Sun Conference: 1
Big Sky Conference: 1
Big South Conference: 1
Big West Conference: 1
Colonial Athletic Association: 1
Conference USA: 1
Horizon League: 1
Ivy League: 1
Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference: 1
Mid-American Conference: 1
Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference: 1
Missouri Valley Conference: 1
Mountain West Conference: 1
Northeast Conference: 1
Ohio Valley Conference: 1
Patriot League: 1
Southern Conference: 1
Southland Conference: 1
Southwestern Athletic Conference: 1
Sun Belt Conference: 1
Summit League: 1
Western Athletic Conference: 1