Bracketology 2017: January 23

Seed List

1: Villanova, Baylor, Kansas, Kentucky
2: UCLA, Gonzaga, Florida St., North Carolina
3: Oregon, Arizona, Duke, Wisconsin
4: West Virginia, Notre Dame, Louisville, Virginia
5: Purdue, Creighton, Butler, Cincinnati
6: Maryland, South Carolina, Saint Mary's, Northwestern
7: Kansas St, Dayton, Florida, SMU
8: Xavier, Indiana, Arkansas, Minnesota
9: Iowa State, USC, Utah, Virginia Tech
10: Miami, TCU, Texas Tech, Marquette
11: Clemson, Seton Hall, Michigan, California, Rhode Island, Wake Forest
12: Akron, UNC Wilmington, Middle Tennessee, Illinois State
13: Valparaiso, Nevada, Chattanooga, Monmouth
14: Vermont, Florida Gulf Coast, Princeton, New Mexico State
15: Georgia Southern, Belmont, Winthrop, Bucknell
16: North Dakota State, Texas Southern, Weber State, Sam Houston State

Bullets:

  • It's a two team race for the #1 overall seed at this point, but it still goes to Villanova, who sits on top of the Big East rather clearly at this point.
  • I did punish Creighton for Maurice Watson's injury, because I think the committee will do so.  The Jays are now a 5 seed.
  • Housekeeping:
    • Teams are selected and seeded based on an "If the season ended today" scenario.  This is not a projection of where I think they will end up, but where think they'd be based on season-to-date showings.  I expect Gonzaga to fall as their strength of schedule weakens, while Michigan St. should rise as they get healthy and win games in the B1G.  Doing it this way lets us track a team's stock as the season progresses.
    • Automatic bids are awarded to the team KenPom projects to win the regular season.  We'll keep it that way though January, before flipping over to the teams in first place in the conference standings.
  • The bubble remains very, very fluid.  In the end, I took Texas Tech, Miami, Clemson, Seton Hall, Michigan, Rhode Island, Cal and Wake Forest over (in no order) VCU, Pitt, Houston, Michigan State, Wichita State, Illinois and NC State.

Bids By Conference:
Atlantic Coast Conference 11
Big 12 Conference 7
Big Ten Conference 6
Big East Conference 6
Pac-12 Conference 6
Southeastern Conference 4
American Athletic Conference 2
Atlantic 10 Conference 2
West Coast Conference 2
America East Conference 1
Atlantic Sun Conference 1
Big Sky Conference 1
Big South Conference 1
Big West Conference 0
Colonial Athletic Association 1
Conference USA 1
Horizon League 1
Ivy League 1
Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference 1
Mid-American Conference 1
Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference 1
Missouri Valley Conference 1
Mountain West Conference 1
Northeast Conference 1
Ohio Valley Conference 1
Patriot League 1
Southern Conference 1
Southland Conference 1
Southwestern Athletic Conference 1
Sun Belt Conference 1
Summit League 1
Western Athletic Conference 1