Bracketology 2017: January 16

Seed List
1: Villanova, Kansas, UCLA, Gonzaga
2: Kentucky, Baylor, North Carolina, West Virginia
3: Florida State, Creighton, Louisville, Oregon
4: Duke, Butler, Purdue, Wisconsin,
5: Notre Dame, Arizona, Virginia, Cincinnati
6: South Carolina, Saint Mary's, Florida, Maryland
7: Dayton, Minnesota, Northwestern, Xavier
8: USC, Arkansas, Indiana, Seton Hall
9: SMU, TCU, Utah, Iowa State
10: California, Texas Tech, Virginia Tech, Miami (FL)
11: Clemson, Kansas St., Pittsburgh, Marquette, Michigan State, UNC Wilmington
12: Nevada, Chattanooga, Illinois State, Middle Tennessee
13: Princeton, Vermont, Oakland, Lehigh
14: Florida Gulf Coast, New Mexico State, Akron, Monmouth
15: Belmont, Georgia Southern, Weber State, UNC Asheville
16: North Carolina Central, North Dakota State, UC Irvine, Mount St. Mary's, Sam Houston State, Texas Southern
 
Bullets
  • Teams are selected and seeded based on an "If the season ended today" scenario.  This is not a projection of where I think they will end up, but where think they'd be based on season-to-date showings.  I expect Gonzaga to fall as their strength of schedule weakens, while Michigan St. should rise as they get healthy and win games in the B1G.  Doing it this way lets us track a team's stock as the season progresses.
  • Automatic bids are awarded to the team KenPom projects to win the regular season.  We'll keep it that way though January, before flipping over to the teams in first place in the conference standings.
  • Villanova takes the #1 overall seed back after Baylor was embarrassed last week at West Virginia.  The Bears fall off the top line all together and are now a 2-seed.
  • The bubble remains a mess.  In the end, I took Texas Tech, Miami, Marquette, Michigan State, Marquette, Kansas State and Pitt over Michigan, Oklahoma St., Rhode Island, Houston and Wichita State.
Conferences with multiple bids
10: ACC
7: Big 12, Big Ten
6: Pac-12, Big East
4:  SEC
2: American, WCC
 
In/Out This Bracket:
In: Marquette, Michigan State, Illinois State, Georgia Southern, Nevada, Akron, Lehigh, Sam Houston State, Mount Saint Mary's
Out: Michigan, VCU, UT Arlington, Boise State, Ohio, Bucknell, New Orleans, LIU Brooklyn, Wichita State