Bracketology 2017: January 10, 2017

Seed List
1: Baylor, Villanova, Kansas, UCLA
2: Kentucky, Gonzaga, West Virginia, Duke
3: Oregon, Florida St., North Carolina, Louisville
4: Butler, Purdue, Wisconsin, Creighton
5: Notre Dame, Arizona, Flroida, Virginia
6: Virginia Tech, Saint Mary's, Cincinnati, Xavier
7: Maryland, South Carolina, Dayton, Minnesota
8: Seton Hall, USC, Indiana, Arkansas
9: Northwestern, Clemson, SMU, Iowa St.
10: Texas Tech, Miami FL, Pittsburgh, Kansas St.
11: Wichita St., TCU, Michigan/Utah, California, VCU
12: UNC Wilmington, Chattanooga, Oakland, Middle Tennessee
13: UT Arlington, Boise St., Vermont, Florida Gulf Coast
14: New Mexico St., Monmouth, Belmont, Bucknell
15: Ohio, UNC Ashville, Weber St., New Orleans
16: North Dakota St., Princeton, LIU Brooklyn/North Carolina Central, UC Irvine/Texas Southern
  • Teams are selected and seeded based on an "If the season ended today" scenario.  This is not a projection of where I think they will end up, but where think they'd be based on season-to-date showings.  I expect Gonzaga to fall as their strength of schedule weakens, while Michigan St. should rise as they get healthy and win games in the B1G.  Doing it this way lets us track a team's stock as the season progresses.
  • Automatic bids are awarded to the team KenPom projects to win the regular season.  We'll keep it that way though January, before flipping over to the teams in first place in the conference standings.
  • With Villanova's first loss since last year's tournament began, Baylor takes over the #1 overall seed.  Only the Bears and Gonzaga remain undefeated. 
  • It was a bad week for bubble teams, with a ton losing leaving us with a pretty unimpressive pool at the end.  I wound up taking Texas Tech, Miami, TCU, Michigan, Cal, VCU and Utah over team like Oklahoma St., Rhode Island, Marquette, Houston and Michigan St.
Conferences with multiple bids
10: ACC
7: Big 12, Big Ten
6: Pac-12
5: Big East
4:  SEC
2: American, WCC, A10