Bracketology 2017: February 20

True Seed List 

1: Villanova, Kansas, Gonzaga, North Carolina
2: Louisville, Baylor, Oregon, Arizona
3: UCLA, Duke, Florida, Kentucky
4: Florida St., West Virginia, Purdue, Wisconsin
5: Virginia, Butler, Notre Dame, Maryland
6: Cincinnati, SMU, Creighton, Northwestern
7: Iowa St., Saint Mary's, Minnesota, Dayton
8: VCU, Virginia Tech, Oklahoma St., South Carolina
9: Xavier, USC, Miami FL, Michigan
10: Arkansas, Michigan St., Georgia Tech, California
11: Marquette, Wichita St., Illinois St., Providence, Kansas St., Seton Hall
12: UNC Wilmington, Middle Tennessee, Akron, Nevada
13: UT Arlington, Vermont, Monmouth, Valparaiso
14: Belmont, Princeton, UNC Asheville, Bucknell.
15: Florida Gulf Coast, Furman, Cal St. Bakersfield, North Dakota St.
16: North Carolina Central, New Orleans, Texas Southern, Mount St. Mary's, North Dakota, UC Irvine

OUT THIS BRACKET: Syracuse, TCU, Weber State, UC Davis

IN THIS BRACKET: Marquette, Kansas State, North Dakota, UC Irvine

On the bubble: The bubble has begun to shrink as of late, with a smaller group of teams remaining in debate as teams either win to sure up their status or loss to eliminate themselves.  In the end, I took, Arkansas, Michigan State, Georgia Tech , Providence, Illinois St., Kansas State and Seton Hall over Syracuse, TCU, Wake Forest, Texas Tech and Tennessee.  I do not think anyone outside of that list should get consideration at this stage.

The battle for the fourth 1-seed is very much up for grabs with Baylor's two-loss week.  In the end I took the ACC leaders - North Carolina - over Louisville, Oregon, Baylor or Arizona.  This blind resume test shows just how close it is:

The current bracket would have Richard Patino's Minnesota team in the same Indianapolis pod as Rick Patino's Louisville.  Turner/CBS would have a field day with that, obviously. 

The ACC sits at 10 bids - which seems like a possible number for them to achieve at this point.  Marquette playing their way back in gives the Big Easy 7 bids, while the Big 12 and Big Ten each have 6.

Florida State falls to a 4-seed after losing back-to-back road games.  The big deal here is that a top-4 seed likely puts them in Orlando on opening weekend.  Anything below that and it's luck of the draw.

Next Bracket: Thursday, February 23